Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.164142 0.196366 0.232649 0.276436 0.327758 0.385909 0.456693
2025-03-09 0.120060 0.162209 0.215090 0.285916 0.377857 0.492682 0.646402
2025-03-16 0.088971 0.131939 0.190460 0.275195 0.393798 0.552784 0.780677
2025-03-23 0.073703 0.117982 0.182462 0.281883 0.429655 0.639119 0.955842
2025-03-30 0.062365 0.106824 0.175487 0.287322 0.462392 0.722699 1.134576
2025-04-06 0.051981 0.094827 0.164704 0.284386 0.480802 0.785739 1.288298
2025-04-13 0.043982 0.085086 0.155591 0.282065 0.498770 0.848637 1.446809
2025-04-20 0.039395 0.080365 0.153901 0.291378 0.536115 0.945114 1.667267
2025-04-27 0.038045 0.081304 0.162081 0.318599 0.606569 1.102264 2.001867
2025-05-04 0.034831 0.078023 0.161956 0.330538 0.651060 1.219219 2.278704
2025-05-11 0.030102 0.070805 0.153223 0.324979 0.662676 1.279388 2.461426
2025-05-18 0.025241 0.062394 0.140825 0.310450 0.655339 1.304162 2.582068
2025-05-25 0.020870 0.054387 0.128329 0.294607 0.644766 1.324153 2.700521
2025-06-01 0.019238 0.052457 0.128553 0.305443 0.689156 1.453219 3.038116
2025-06-08 0.016258 0.046630 0.119175 0.294096 0.686101 1.489143 3.198302
2025-06-15 0.014887 0.044604 0.118176 0.301212 0.722913 1.607790 3.532418
2025-06-22 0.013596 0.042525 0.116712 0.306995 0.757341 1.724532 3.872647
2025-06-29 0.012003 0.039271 0.111814 0.303874 0.771232 1.799253 4.131997
2025-07-06 0.010648 0.036411 0.107451 0.301406 0.786226 1.877496 4.405280
2025-07-13 0.009972 0.035453 0.107958 0.311307 0.831624 2.026387 4.843577
2025-07-20 0.010076 0.036963 0.115421 0.340244 0.926308 2.293526 5.563095
2025-07-27 0.009543 0.036306 0.116720 0.352931 0.982003 2.476461 6.108413
2025-08-03 0.008446 0.033521 0.111455 0.347025 0.990002 2.549600 6.410294